UK in 2051 to be ‘significantly more diverse’

UK in 2051 to be ‘significantly more diverse’

University of Leeds
2010-07-13

The ethnic makeup of the UK will change dramatically over the next 40 years, with the country becoming far more ethnically diverse and geographically integrated, according to new projections.

In a report published this week, researchers from the University of Leeds predict that ethnic minorities will make up one-fifth of the population by 2051 (compared to 8% in 2001), with the mixed ethnic population expected to treble in size. Their projections also indicate that the UK will become far less segregated as ethnic groups disperse throughout the country. 

These initial findings of a three-year study include population projections for 352 local authorities in England, and projections for Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, for each year until 2051.

Key projections for 2051

  • UK population could reach almost 78 million* (59 million in 2001)
  • White British, White Irish and Black Caribbean groups to experience slowest growth
  • Other White (Australia, US and Europe) and Mixed to experience the biggest growth
  • Ethnic minority share of the population to increase from 8% (2001) to around 20%
  • Ethnic minorities to shift from deprived local authorities to more affluent areas
  • Ethnic groups to be significantly less segregated from the rest of the population…

Read the entire news release here.

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